🌊 Ripple · counterfactual
What if the cotton gin had gone differently?
1793 · north-america
A simple machine makes short-staple cotton profitable, and revives a slave economy that was fading.
If it had gone differently: Cotton stays unprofitable inland; the American South's demand for enslaved labour collapses instead of exploding.
What it set up
- 1525The Atlantic slave trade scales up, The plantation economy never finds its labour force; Atlantic colonies stay marginal.
- 1780The Industrial Revolution, Growth stays flat and Malthusian; most people alive in 1900 live about as their great-grandparents did.
- 1861The American Civil War, The Union splits for good; there is no single continental United States to become the next century's dominant power.
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